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Sovereign Debt Crisis in Greece – What it Means for EMEA Emerging Markets
www.youtube.com/watch?v=tp3I0c-uZ-M Austerity measures are not a solution to structural problems in Greece. What is at the root of the sovereign debt crisis? What are the risks? How will it impact...
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Greece likely to leave Euro
“If Greek voters vote no, Greece will default and drop the Euro as its currency, switching to a “New Drachma.” Frontier Strategy Group sees a greater than 50% chance that Greece will leave the Euro.”...
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Germany Structuring Path to Euro Exit for Italy, Greece
German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party voted today to provide a means for Euro-zone markets to voluntarily exit the Euro without losing access to the EU’s free trade zone. This move confirms that...
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The Problem in Italy Lies in Politics, Not Economics
Berlusconi’s exit may mark the beginning of the breakup of the European Monetary Union (EMU), changing the business environment in Europe and markets globally. The problem in Italy lies in the...
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The Sovereign Debt Crisis in Emerging Markets (Part I)
What happened? In 2008, banks stopped lending as they were forced to use capital to absorb losses from deteriorating investment portfolios. When lending dried up, business struggled, industrial...
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Emerging Markets Outlook Bright in 2012
Original Article in MarketWatch Matt Lasov, director of global research at Frontier Strategy Group, said the emerging markets’ performance in 2012 depends on their relationship to the euro zone. “The...
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Recession in Europe, Driving Risk of Breakup – FSG Analyst Insights
Interview with Matt Lasov, Head of EMEA Research for Frontier Strategy Group “The risk of default and devaluation in Europe is still high. Bailout discussions focused on Spanish banks buy time and...
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Conditions in Greece Worsening – FSG Analyst Insights
Interview with Matt Lasov, head of EMEA research for Frontier Strategy Group: “There is a lot of tough talk coming out of Germany after the government approved the Spanish bank loans. Some officials...
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2013 will not be a year of recovery in CEE
Companies need to prepare for a continued deterioration of the macroeconomic environment in Central and Eastern Europe through the end of 2012 and at least the first half of 2013. Demand from both the...
View ArticleTrouble in Greece Never Left
The Greek government has made several economic and political gambles in 2014 that are now putting the country back on MNCs’ map of concerns. Financial markets have already reacted to news of an...
View ArticleThree scenarios to plan for as Greece heads to the polls
Uncertainty in Europe is back with a vengeance, and the culprit is one we all know too well. Greece, who has undergone massive austerity reforms in order to maintain its bailout program with...
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Greece faces severe liquidity crisis
Greece’s economic situation is deteriorating rapidly and on March 31, the government failed to meet an initial deal with the EU and IMF, offering plans insufficient to address creditor concerns. In...
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Scenarios for Greece’s Impending Default
Greece is out of money. As the country’s time to reach negotiations with creditors expires, executives should consider four potential scenarios for Greece and enact contingency plans for their eurozone...
View Article[Podcast] Mid-Year Update: Global Outlook for 2015
After a disappointing start to the year in developed and emerging markets, corporate strategic planners now face a very difficult macroeconomic environment. In this podcast, FSG’s Global Analytics...
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China, Iran, Greece: Game-Changers for Business
The coming week could bring resolution to long-running dramas in China, Iran, and Greece. Media coverage focuses on whether governments will reach agreement and successfully intervene to preserve...
View ArticleAs Greece agrees on new bailout, Eurozone’s challenges will persist
Greece and its creditors arrived at a deal on Monday morning that outlines next steps towards providing €85 billion in additional bailout funds. While this is unambiguously good news for equities...
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Changing of the guard? Tsipras’ resignation unlikely to dismantle what’s left...
On the evening of Aug. 20, 2015, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras resigned and called for new elections. Although the timing of the announcement was somewhat unexpected, the proposition of new...
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Don’t believe the hype: Plan for solid growth in Western Europe in 2017
Western Europe will likely grow by 1.6% YOY in 2017 from 1.7% YOY in 2016, and Germany and Spain will continue to lead the region’s outlook for 2017. Despite a lack of acceleration, 1.6% YOY growth is...
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Has Western Europe become free of political risk for MNCs?
2017 was supposed to be the year of political risk in Western Europe. A series of key political events – elections in the Netherlands, France, Germany, and potentially Italy, as well as Brexit – had...
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Why MNCs should keep a close eye on South Europe
The once weakest and riskiest region within Western Europe, South Europe (Italy, Spain, Greece, and Portugal) saw growth in 2009 and 2012 contracting by 4.2% in 2009 and by 3.2%, respectively. Since...
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